The record of a room thinking in public.

The Uncharted Frontier Outlook is an annual publication made by the people inside each gathering: a clear-eyed account of the state of AI, the arguments that matter now, and the futures its contributors believe are coming into view.

Explore the first volume

A publication, not a verdict

Summer 2026: Palm Springs.

The first Outlook is made during the inaugural month in Palm Springs. It is not a conference recap, nor a consensus statement. It is a durable record of what thirty-two practitioners across engineering, product, research, and art could see from where they stood.

Its purpose is to make the room legible beyond the room: the evidence people trust, the consequences they fear, the futures they want to make possible, and the questions they refuse to close too soon.

individual forecasts, one from every contributor

lenses: engineering, product, research, and art

shared record that preserves disagreement rather than erasing it

Thirty-two forecasts

Predictions with a way to be wrong.

Every contributor makes one time-bound forecast about the future of AI. The forecast need not be optimistic or pessimistic. It does need to be specific enough to revisit, and honest enough to say what would alter the author's view.

A concrete prediction with a stated time horizon
A confidence level, not a performance of certainty
The evidence or condition that would change the author’s mind
A short account of who bears the consequence if it comes true

The forecast index

One author. One position. One future to revisit.

The completed Outlook publishes these forecasts with their horizon, confidence level, and revision condition. Together, they form a textured map rather than a single thesis about what comes next.

01Engineering
Contributor forecast
02Product
Contributor forecast
03Research
Contributor forecast
04Art
Contributor forecast
05Engineering
Contributor forecast
06Product
Contributor forecast
07Research
Contributor forecast
08Art
Contributor forecast
09Engineering
Contributor forecast
10Product
Contributor forecast
11Research
Contributor forecast
12Art
Contributor forecast
13Engineering
Contributor forecast
14Product
Contributor forecast
15Research
Contributor forecast
16Art
Contributor forecast
17Engineering
Contributor forecast
18Product
Contributor forecast
19Research
Contributor forecast
20Art
Contributor forecast
21Engineering
Contributor forecast
22Product
Contributor forecast
23Research
Contributor forecast
24Art
Contributor forecast
25Engineering
Contributor forecast
26Product
Contributor forecast
27Research
Contributor forecast
28Art
Contributor forecast
29Engineering
Contributor forecast
30Product
Contributor forecast
31Research
Contributor forecast
32Art
Contributor forecast

Editorial governance

Built by contributors. Held to an editorial standard.

Six residents serve on an editorial council: one representative from each cohort and two at-large editors. They work with an independent managing editor and fact-checking support to shape the volume without flattening its authors.

Contributors retain ownership of their individual work and approve their own attribution. The collective publication only includes a contribution after its author has reviewed the language, sourcing, and context in which it appears.

Dissent labels

Consensus is useful. Honest disagreement is indispensable.

The Outlook does not ask a group of people with different expertise, incentives, and lived experience to speak with one voice. Instead, it gives readers a way to understand the shape of agreement—and the quality of its opposition.

Cohort view

A claim that survived cross-disciplinary discussion and is signed by the contributors who stand behind it.

Majority view

A position held by most, but not all, of the room. The disagreement is named, not smoothed away.

Minority view

A serious counter-position with its strongest case stated in full, rather than reduced to a footnote.

Open question

A question the cohort could not resolve—and believes deserves more attention than a premature answer.

Contribution workflow

The month becomes a public record in five moves.

The collective work begins before arrival and continues after the last dinner. Every stage is designed to preserve both intellectual rigor and the people whose thinking made the publication possible.

Arrive with a position

Before the residency, every contributor submits a position card: what is underestimated, what is overestimated, and which evidence could change their mind.

Put it under pressure

Sessions, keynotes, workshops, and small editorial rooms test the claims against practice, evidence, and people with different stakes in the outcome.

Write the record

Each contributor leaves with a forecast and a contribution to one shared section. Editorial teams turn the month’s conversation into a readable public argument.

Review before publishing

No one is quoted, attributed, or represented without review. Contributors can correct facts, clarify their position, or move a claim into dissent.

Return to it

The publication stays alive after release. Contributors revisit the forecasts, note what changed, and add a record of where the group was right, wrong, or early.

An annual record

Publishing is the beginning of accountability.

Each volume returns one year later. Forecast authors are invited to annotate what happened, what did not, and what they failed to see. The result is a living archive of changing evidence, changing minds, and the practical limits of foresight.

Future gatherings add new volumes and respond to the earlier ones. The next room in Boulder will inherit the questions Palm Springs leaves unresolved—and make its own record in turn.

Winter 2026 · Boulder, Colorado

Palm Springs is closed. The next argument starts in Boulder.

Applications for Summer 2026: Palm Springs have concluded. Join the Boulder waitlist to receive the first invitation to apply, the timeline, and the earliest details for Boulder.

Join the Boulder waitlist